Rest of Season Ranks: Quarterbacks

We will continue the weekly series, aiming to profile the players worth ranking in terms of remaining season value. Obviously, injured/suspended players are discounted and past performance might not be an indicator of future successes. These rankings can help prioritize who to add or target in your fantasy league. Below are the quarterbacks:

 

Name Pos Tm Bye Tier Rk
Peyton Manning QB DEN 4 Tier 1 1
Aaron Rodgers QB GB 9 Tier 1 2
Drew Brees QB NO 6 Tier 1 3
Matthew Stafford QB DET 9 Tier 2 A 4
Andrew Luck QB IND 10 Tier 2 5
Matt Ryan QB ATL 9 Tier 2 6
Cam Newton QB CAR 12 Tier 2 7
Nick Foles QB PHI 7 Tier 2 B 8
Robert Griffin III QB WAS 10 Tier 3 9
Colin Kaepernick QB SF 8 Tier 3 10
Tom Brady QB NE 10 Tier 3 11
Russell Wilson QB SEA 4 Tier 3 12
Jay Cutler QB CHI 9 Tier 3 13
Tony Romo QB DAL 11 Tier 3 14
Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT 12 Tier 4 15
Jake Locker QB TEN 9 Tier 4 16
Carson Palmer QB ARI 4 Tier 4 17
Philip Rivers QB SD 10 Tier 4 18
Andy Dalton QB CIN 4 Tier 4 19

Rest of Season Ranks: Running Backs

Name Pos Tm Bye Tier Rk
Matt Forte RB CHI 9 Tier 1 1
LeSean McCoy RB PHI 7 Tier 1 2
Jamaal Charles RB KC 6 Tier 1 3
Adrian Peterson RB MIN 10 Tier 1 4
Giovani Bernard RB CIN 4 Tier 2 5
Montee Ball RB DEN 4 Tier 2 6
DeMarco Murray RB DAL 11 Tier 2 7
Le’Veon Bell RB PIT 12 Tier 2 8
Arian Foster RB HOU 10 Tier 2 9
Marshawn Lynch RB SEA 4 Tier 2 10
Eddie Lacy RB GB 9 Tier 2 11
Alfred Morris RB WAS 10 Tier 3 12
Andre Ellington RB ARI 4 Tier 3 13
C.J. Spiller RB BUF 9 Tier 3 14
Frank Gore RB SF 8 Tier 3 15
Shane Vereen RB NE 10 Tier 3 16
Reggie Bush RB DET 9 Tier 3 17
Rashad Jennings RB NYG 8 Tier 3 18
Joique Bell RB DET 9 Tier 3 19
Knowshon Moreno RB MIA 5 Tier 3 20
Ryan Mathews RB SD 10 Tier 3 21
Toby Gerhart RB JAC 11 Tier 4 22
Zac Stacy RB STL 4 Tier 4 23
Doug Martin RB TB 7 Tier 4 24
Chris Johnson RB NYJ 11 Tier 4 25
Steven Jackson RB ATL 9 Tier 4 26
Terrance West RB CLE 4 Tier 4 27
Ahmad Bradshaw RB IND 10 Tier 4 28
Justin Forsett RB BAL 11 Tier 4 29
Ben Tate RB CLE 4 Tier 4 30
Trent Richardson RB IND 10 Tier 4 31
Maurice Jones-Drew RB OAK 5 Tier 4 32
Darren Sproles RB PHI 7 Tier 4 33
Pierre Thomas RB NO 6 Tier 4 34
Bobby Rainey RB TB 7 Tier 5 35
Lamar Miller RB MIA 5 Tier 5 36
Fred Jackson RB BUF 9 Tier 5 37
Carlos Hyde RB SF 8 Tier 5 38
Bernard Pierce RB BAL 11 Tier 5 39
Shonn Greene RB TEN 9 Tier 5 40
DeAngelo Williams RB CAR 12 Tier 5 41
Stevan Ridley RB NE 10 Tier 5 42
Mark Ingram RB NO 6 Tier 5 43
Christopher Ivory RB NYJ 11 Tier 5 44
Danny Woodhead RB SD 10 Tier 5 45
Jeremy Hill RB CIN 4 Tier 5 46
Bishop Sankey RB TEN 9 Tier 5 47
Benny Cunningham RB STL 4 Tier 5 48
Isaiah Crowell RB CLE 4 Tier 5 49
Lance Dunbar RB DAL 11 Tier 5 50
Andre Williams RB NYG 8 Tier 5 51
LeGarrette Blount RB PIT 12 Tier 5 52
Roy Helu RB WAS 10 Tier 5 53
James White RB NE 10 Tier 5 54
Latavius Murray RB OAK 5 Tier 5 55

Rest of Season Ranks: Wide Receivers

Name Pos Tm Bye Tier Rk
Calvin Johnson WR DET 9 Tier 1 A 1
Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 4 Tier 1 2
Dez Bryant WR DAL 11 Tier 1 3
A.J. Green WR CIN 4 Tier 1 4
Brandon Marshall WR CHI 9 Tier 1 5
Julio Jones WR ATL 9 Tier 1 6
Antonio Brown WR PIT 12 Tier 2 A 7
Jordy Nelson WR GB 9 Tier 2 A 8
Alshon Jeffery WR CHI 9 Tier 2 9
Randall Cobb WR GB 9 Tier 2 10
Pierre Garcon WR WAS 10 Tier 2 11
Vincent Jackson WR TB 7 Tier 2 12
Keenan Allen WR SD 10 Tier 2 13
Andre Johnson WR HOU 10 Tier 2 14
Roddy White WR ATL 9 Tier 2 15
Michael Crabtree WR SF 8 Tier 3 16
Michael Floyd WR ARI 4 Tier 3 17
Cordarrelle Patterson WR MIN 10 Tier 3 18
Percy Harvin WR SEA 4 Tier 3 19
Jeremy Maclin WR PHI 7 Tier 3 20
Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 4 Tier 3 21
Victor Cruz WR NYG 8 Tier 3 22
Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN 4 Tier 3 23
Reggie Wayne WR IND 10 Tier 3 24
DeSean Jackson WR WAS 10 Tier 3 25
Torrey Smith WR BAL 11 Tier 3 26
Ty Hilton WR IND 10 Tier 3 27
Terrance Williams WR DAL 11 Tier 4 28
Julian Edelman WR NE 10 Tier 4 29
Mike Wallace WR MIA 5 Tier 4 30
Kendall Wright WR TEN 9 Tier 4 31
Golden Tate WR DET 9 Tier 4 32
Marques Colston WR NO 6 Tier 4 33
Brandin Cooks WR NO 6 Tier 4 34
Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR 12 Tier 4 35
Markus Wheaton WR PIT 12 Tier 4 36
Justin Hunter WR TEN 9 Tier 4 37
Eric Decker WR NYJ 11 Tier 4 38
Mike Evans WR TB 7 Tier 4 39
Steve Smith WR BAL 11 Tier 4 40
Wes Welker WR DEN 4 Tier 4 41
Rueben Randle WR NYG 8 Tier 5 42
Riley Cooper WR PHI 7 Tier 5 43
Brian Hartline WR MIA 5 Tier 5 44
DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU 10 Tier 5 45
Malcom Floyd WR SD Tier 5 46
Brian Quick WR STL 4 Tier 5 47
Greg Jennings WR MIN 10 Tier 5 48
Sammy Watkins WR BUF 9 Tier 5 49
Cecil Shorts WR JAC 11 Tier 5 50
Dwayne Bowe WR KC 6 Tier 5 51
Anquan Boldin WR SF 8 Tier 5 52
Andrew Hawkins WR CLE 4 Tier 5 53
Jarrett Boykin WR GB 9 Tier 5 54
Rod Streater WR OAK 5 Tier 5 55
Allen Hurns WR JAC 11 Tier 5 56
Tavon Austin WR STL 4 Tier 5 57
Marqise Lee WR JAC 11 Tier 5 58
Kenny Stills WR NO 6 Tier 5 59
Josh Gordon WR CLE 4 Tier 5 60

Rest of Season Ranks: Tight Ends

Name Pos Tm Bye Tier Rk
Jimmy Graham TE NO 6 Tier 1 A 1
Rob Gronkowski TE NE 10 Tier 1 2
Julius Thomas TE DEN 4 Tier 1 3
Vernon Davis TE SF 8 Tier 2 4
Jordan Cameron TE CLE 4 Tier 2 5
Greg Olsen TE CAR 12 Tier 2 6
Dennis Pitta TE BAL 11 Tier 2 7
Jason Witten TE DAL 11 Tier 2 8
Zach Ertz TE PHI 7 Tier 3 9
Jordan Reed TE WAS 10 Tier 3 10
Martellus Bennett TE CHI 9 Tier 3 11
Delanie Walker TE TEN 9 Tier 3 12
Kyle Rudolph TE MIN 10 Tier 3 13
Heath Miller TE PIT 12 Tier 3 14
Charles Clay TE MIA 5 Tier 4 15
Antonio Gates TE SD 10 Tier 4 16
Ladarius Green TE SD 10 Tier 4 17
Travis Kelce TE KC 6 Tier 4 18

Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends

A few drafts later, comes the fourth part of the annual series: Tight End Rankings. Tight Ends’ value have been hard to gauge, and I would like to particularly point to the points above replacement columns for 14 and 10 team leagues on the right. A common mistake many owners make is filling their starting lineup before filling their bench. This might come with taking a replacement-level tight end over a replacement-level running back. Historically, tight ends do not advance much higher than the tier than they are drafted in, while running backs can certainly emerge out of nowhere. Again, we thank fantasypros.com for their composite ADP ranks, and below are all of the draftable tight ends in 10-to-14 team leagues.

 

 Player Name  Position  Pos RK Team   Bye Week  ADP  Y! 14 Y! 10
Jimmy Graham TE 1 NO 6 8 5.8 5.3
Rob Gronkowski TE 2 NE 10 31 3.8 3.3
Julius Thomas TE 3 DEN 4 28 3.5 3
Vernon Davis TE 4 SF 8 46 2.1 1.6
Jordan Cameron TE 5 CLE 4 59 1.9 1.4
Jason Witten TE 6 DAL 11 55 1.4 0.9
Jordan Reed TE 7 WAS 10 85 1.1 0.6
Greg Olsen TE 8 CAR 12 74 0.9 0.4
Dennis Pitta TE 9 BAL 11 77 0.9 0.4
Kyle Rudolph TE 10 MIN 10 80 0.5 0
Zach Ertz TE 11 PHI 7 110 0.1 -0.4
Charles Clay TE 12 MIA 5 147 0.5 0
Martellus Bennett TE 13 CHI 9 116 0 -0.5
Delanie Walker TE 14 TEN 9 190 -0.5 -1
Ladarius Green TE 15 SD 10 154 -0.4 -0.9
Heath Miller TE 16 PIT 12 152 -0.3 -0.8
Antonio Gates TE 17 SD 10 137 -0.3 -0.8
Travis Kelce TE 18 KC 6 211 -3 -3.5

Tier 1: Jimmy Graham

Tier 2: Rob Gronkowski, Julius Thomas

Tier 3: Vernon Davis, Jordan Cameron, Jason Witten

Tier 4: Jordan Reed, Greg Olsen, Dennis Pitta, 

Tier 5: Kyle Rudolph, Zach Ertz, Charles Clay, Martellus Bennett, Delanie Walker, Ladarius Green, Heath Miller, Antonio Gates, Travis Kelce

Overvalued: Julius Thomas, Vernon Davis, Jason Witten, Kyle Rudolph. 

In tight ends, I prefer consistent producers. Touchdowns are not a reliable stat to count on for consistency, and Vernon, Julius and Kyle are completely touchdown dependent fantasy values. Julius Thomas had 4 games with 50 yards or more. FOUR! Vernon Davis will lose some production to Michael Crabtree, and just because Kyle Rudolph got paid, does not mean he got better. Jason Witten is simply the case of a familiar name being reached for.

Undervalued: Jordan Cameron, Jordan Reed, Zach Ertz, Charles Clay, Delanie Walker, Heath Miller.

I believe in Cameron emerging for the Browns this season, and think his value is much more desirable than Vernon Davis’. RG3 has had a rough preseason, but Jordan Reed will take a big step forward this year. Ertz, Clay, Walker and Miller are all desirable replacement level targets who can turn into 3rd or 4th tier guys potentially.

 

For the most part the tight end market is valued correctly. I am high on Gronk and Graham because I love having the security of a dominant tight end. I fully understand the concerns around both of these players, but have seen them drop in certain drafts. Really if you don’t get a top 9 Tight End, I would pad your WR/RB depth before filling out your lineup. Happy drafting!

 

@manwithaspreads

2014 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs

Now time to discuss the most vital position in fantasy football, and ironically one of the least vital positions in real football, running backs. This is the third part of a 5-part annual series, and the running back portion is often the most anticipated. Fantasypros.com is a great resource, and we are pulling the Expert Consensus Rankings from them, as well as the Average Draft Position. We also have point totals over replacement-level for both 10 and 14-team leagues. These are not point per reception totals, but as you can tell below we value the consistency that pass-catchers provide. Here are our ranks:

ECR Rank   Player Name  Position  Rk Team   Bye Week  ADP  Y! 14 Y! 10
2 LeSean McCoy RB 1 PHI 7 1 8.8 6.8
1 Jamaal Charles RB 2 KC 6 2 8.5 6.5
4 Matt Forte RB 3 CHI 9 4 8.4 6.4
3 Adrian Peterson RB 4 MIN 10 3 7.9 5.9
5 Eddie Lacy RB 5 GB 9 5 6.9 4.9
18 Giovani Bernard RB 6 CIN 4 22 6.1 4.1
12 Montee Ball RB 7 DEN 4 13 6.1 4.1
11 DeMarco Murray RB 8 DAL 11 14 6.1 4.1
14 Arian Foster RB 9 HOU 10 11 6.2 4.2
15 Le’Veon Bell RB 10 PIT 12 16 6 4
9 Marshawn Lynch RB 11 SEA 4 8 6.1 4.1
22 Alfred Morris RB 12 WAS 10 23 5.2 3.2
29 Andre Ellington RB 13 ARI 4 32 4.4 2.4
26 Zac Stacy RB 14 STL 4 25 5.2 3.2
23 Doug Martin RB 15 TB 7 21 4.8 2.8
30 C.J. Spiller RB 16 BUF 9 35 4 2
58 Bishop Sankey RB 17 TEN 9 51 4.3 2.3
41 Toby Gerhart RB 18 JAC 11 53 3.6 1.6
38 Reggie Bush RB 19 DET 9 30 3.6 1.6
47 Frank Gore RB 20 SF 8 46 3.4 1.4
55 Joique Bell RB 21 DET 9 70 3.4 1.4
34 Ryan Mathews RB 22 SD 10 36 3.1 1.1
42 Rashad Jennings RB 23 NYG 8 52 3.2 1.2
57 Chris Johnson RB 24 NYJ 11 55 3.2 1.2
67 Trent Richardson RB 25 IND 10 69 3.3 1.3
54 Ben Tate RB 26 CLE 4 54 2.8 0.8
51 Shane Vereen RB 27 NE 10 58 3 1
62 Steven Jackson RB 28 ATL 9 77 2.1 0.1
71 Ray Rice RB 29 BAL 11 65 2.5 0.5
69 Stevan Ridley RB 30 NE 10 76 2.8 0.8
85 Lamar Miller RB 31 MIA 5 106 2.1 0.1
81 Pierre Thomas RB 32 NO 6 89 2 0
89 Fred Jackson RB 33 BUF 9 98 2.1 0.1
88 Maurice Jones-Drew RB 34 OAK 5 85 1.6 -0.4
111 Terrance West RB 35 CLE 4 113 0.2 -1.8
107 Knowshon Moreno RB 36 MIA 5 94 1 -1
105 Bernard Pierce RB 37 BAL 11 118 0.2 -1.8
103 DeAngelo Williams RB 38 CAR 12 112 1 -1
130 Khiry Robinson RB 39 NO 6 116 0.6 -1.4
141 Devonta Freeman RB 40 ATL 9 154 -0.9 -2.9
102 Darren Sproles RB 41 PHI 7 96 0 -2
106 Danny Woodhead RB 42 SD 10 108 0.1 -1.9
160 Carlos Hyde RB 43 SF 8 145 -2.6 -4.6
113 Christopher Ivory RB 44 NYJ 11 129 -0.5 -2.5
137 Christine Michael RB 45 SEA 4 152 -1.4 -3.4
148 LeGarrette Blount RB 46 PIT 12 136 -1.5 -3.5
170 Ahmad Bradshaw RB 47 IND 10 184 -2.7 -4.7
104 Darren McFadden RB 48 OAK 5 119 -0.9 -2.9
224 James White RB 49 NE 10 215 -3.4 -5.4
193 Andre Williams RB 50 NYG 8 206 -3 -5
119 Jeremy Hill RB 51 CIN 4 127 -0.6 -2.6
138 Jonathan Stewart RB 52 CAR 12 179 -1.9 -3.9
168 Roy Helu RB 53 WAS 10 218 -2.3 -4.3
183 C.J. Anderson RB 54 DEN 4 209 -2.4 -4.4
186 Lance Dunbar RB 55 DAL 11 219 -2.6 -4.6

Tier 1: LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles, Matt Forte, Adrian Peterson, Eddie Lacy

Tier 2: Giovani Bernard, Montee Ball, DeMarco Murray, Arian Foster, Le’Veon Bell, Marshawn Lynch

Tier 3: Alfred Morris, Zac Stacy, Doug Martin, CJ Spiller, Bishop Sankey

Tier 4: Toby Gerhart, Reggie Bush, Frank Gore, Joique Bell, Ryan Mathews, Rashad Jennings, Chris Johnson, Trent Richardson, Ben Tate, Shane Vereen

Tier 5: Steven Jackson, Ray Rice, Stevan Ridley, Lamar Miller, Pierre Thomas, Fred Jackson, MJD, 

Tier 6: Terrance West, Knowshon Moreno, Bernard Pierce, DeAngelo Williams, Khiry Robinson, DeVonta Freeman, Darren Sproles, Danny Woodhead, Carlos Hyde, Chris Ivory, Christine Michael, LeGarrette Blount, Ahmad Bradshaw, Darren McFadden, James White, Andre Williams, Jeremy Hill, Jonathan Stewart, Roy Helu, CJ Anderson, Lance Dunbar

Overvalued: Arian Foster, Le’Veon Bell, Marshawn Lynch, Alfred Morris, Zac Stacy, Doug Martin, Toby Gerhart, Reggie Bush, Rashad Jennings.

Generally, I find the entire position of running back over-valued. The running back position has evolved in recent years, and I do not trust backs who are: injury-prone, old, or do not  have pass-catching capabilities. The wide receiver position has much greater consistency. DeMarco Murray, AJ Green, Brandon Marshall and Marshawn Lynch; who would you trust? I take the wideouts every time and have no issues with a WR-WR strategy. I will talk about each player since RB is an important position. Foster is being taken too early for my liking, I’d prefer a WR early-second. Le’Veon Bell had a 3.5 YPC and will share the workload with Blount. Morris has bricks for fingers and with a new regime could lose time to pass-catcher extraordinare Roy Helu. Lynch does not offer the versatility of pass-catching, and will cede carries to Christine Michael in likely his last year in Seattle. I do not trust Zac Stacy, and think his job is less secure than the public. Doug Martin is vastly overrated due to one or two outlier performances in 2012. Reggie Bush is the 2nd best RB on his team. Jennings and Gerhart are being overvalued, do not provide much, if any upside, and are not very good football players on not very good football teams.

Undervalued: Matt Forte, Giovani Bernard, Bishop Sankey, Joique Bell, Terrance West, Bernard Pierce, Steven Jackson, Khiry Robinson, Carlos Hyde, Christine Michael, LeGarrette Blount, Ahmad Bradshaw, Lance Dunbar

Generally, RBs are being over-valued, which causes this list to be littered with RBs second on the depth chart. I find the best strategy to stack your WR position, while accumulating RB quantity. Matt Forte is my pick to be the top fantasy player for 2014; although he is not tops on my board because of injury concerns. I love Giovani Bernard and I see him as a Ray Rice-at-his-peak kind of player. A special talent. Although I have seen very little of Bishop Sankey, I like his value and the fact that Shonn Greene is terrible. Steven Jackson is a bargain at his current price, although I don’t love selecting him. The last six names are all talented individuals who could inherit the workload, making them a bargain at their current prices.

 

Hope you enjoy the new look site. Tweet your questions to @manwithaspreads

 

2014 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers

Welcome back for part 2 of a 5 part series profiling the wideouts. Below, tiers will be decided, strategy will be explained and rankings will be made! We hope that you enjoy the new site layout, and our dope new logo. Yes, I used dope as an adjective, we’re all about math here– not grammar. These rankings are formatted towards a 10-to-14 team league that is not PPR and includes 3 Wideouts. We are certainly fans of the PPR format, but still find that this is sort of a unique league which is more inclined to have other variables (such as 6-point pass TDs). However, we lean towards wideout who are consistent targets and would be valuable in the PPR format.In our valuation and stated above,

 

ECR Rank   Player Name  Position  Team  RK  Bye Week  ADP  Y! 14 Y! 10
6 Calvin Johnson WR DET 1 9 6 7.5 6.2
7 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 2 4 10 6.7 5.4
10 Dez Bryant WR DAL 3 11 12 5.4 4.1
13 A.J. Green WR CIN 4 4 15 5.4 4.1
16 Brandon Marshall WR CHI 5 9 19 5.1 3.8
17 Julio Jones WR ATL 6 9 20 5.2 3.9
24 Antonio Brown WR PIT 7 12 27 4.6 3.3
20 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI 8 9 26 4.6 3.3
21 Jordy Nelson WR GB 9 9 24 4.6 3.3
28 Randall Cobb WR GB 10 9 29 3.9 2.6
32 Vincent Jackson WR TB 11 7 33 3.6 2.3
31 Keenan Allen WR SD 12 10 38 2.9 1.6
33 Pierre Garcon WR WAS 13 10 39 2.9 1.6
43 Michael Crabtree WR SF 14 8 43 3.1 1.8
35 Andre Johnson WR HOU 15 10 37 3.4 2.1
36 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 16 4 34 3.3 2
44 Roddy White WR ATL 17 9 49 2.6 1.3
45 Wes Welker WR DEN 18 4 41 2.6 1.3
52 Michael Floyd WR ARI 19 4 64 2.6 1.3
39 Victor Cruz WR NYG 20 8 42 2.6 1.3
48 DeSean Jackson WR WAS 21 10 47 2 0.7
50 Percy Harvin WR SEA 22 4 50 2.2 0.9
53 Cordarrelle Patterson WR MIN 23 10 48 2.6 1.3
56 Torrey Smith WR BAL 24 11 67 2.1 0.8
76 Jeremy Maclin WR PHI 25 7 74 1.9 0.6
65 Ty Hilton WR IND 26 10 66 1.9 0.6
70 Julian Edelman WR NE 27 10 68 1.6 0.3
82 Terrance Williams WR DAL 28 11 93 1.6 0.3
66 Kendall Wright WR TEN 29 9 82 1.3 0
84 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN 30 4 78 1.4 0.1
72 Mike Wallace WR MIA 31 5 81 1.4 0.1
83 Golden Tate WR DET 32 9 84 1.4 0.1
73 Marques Colston WR NO 33 6 80 0.9 -0.4
77 Eric Decker WR NYJ 34 11 86 1 -0.3
95 Sammy Watkins WR BUF 35 9 92 0.8 -0.5
99 Mike Evans WR TB 36 7 111 0.4 -0.9
86 Reggie Wayne WR IND 37 10 90 0.4 -0.9
98 Riley Cooper WR PHI 38 7 103 0.3 -1
100 Rueben Randle WR NYG 39 8 135 0.2 -1.1
121 Brandin Cooks WR NO 40 6 123 0.2 -1.1
124 Brian Hartline WR MIA 41 5 186 0.1 -1.2
109 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU 42 10 130 0 -1.3
94 Cecil Shorts WR JAC 43 11 120 -0.1 -1.4
90 Dwayne Bowe WR KC 44 6 109 0.1 -1.2
127 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR 45 12 146 -0.2 -1.5
139 Markus Wheaton WR PIT 46 12 204 -1 -2.3
126 Danny Amendola WR NE 47 10 141 -0.4 -1.7
134 Justin Hunter WR TEN 48 9 163 -0.9 -2.2
129 Jarrett Boykin WR GB 49 9 177 -0.7 -2
101 Anquan Boldin WR SF 50 8 115 -0.1 -1.4
116 Tavon Austin WR STL 51 4 131 0 -1.3
125 Greg Jennings WR MIN 52 10 172 -0.8 -2.1
110 Hakeem Nicks WR IND 53 10 121 -0.9 -2.2
149 Doug Baldwin WR SEA 54 4 182 -0.6 -1.9
180 Andrew Hawkins WR CLE 55 4 241 -1.4 -2.7
132 Steve Smith WR BAL 56 11 158 -1 -2.3
185 Marqise Lee WR JAC 57 11 245 -1.9 -3.2
122 Kenny Stills WR NO 58 6 148 -0.2 -1.5
171 Rod Streater WR OAK 59 5 242 -1 -2.3
177 Josh Gordon WR CLE 60 4 133 -2.2 -3.5

I enjoy the consistency that wideouts provide in the new passing era of the NFL. Top-tiered wideouts are being consistently undervalued. I am certainly more confident in Brandon Marshall finishing as a WR1 than… Le’veon Bell for example. Targets are a great in-season metric to evaluate players, and we tend to avoid players entering new environments (rookies, FAs) in favor of established, consistent veterans.

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Demaryius Thomas

Tier 2: Dez Bryant, AJ Green, Brandon Marshall, Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, Alshon Jeffery, Jordy Nelson

Tier 3: Randall Cobb, Vincent Jackson, Keenan Allen, Pierre Garcon, Michael Crabtree, Andre Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Roddy White, Wes Welker

Tier 4: Michael Floyd, Victor Cruz, DeSean Jackson, Percy Harvin, Cordarelle Patterson, Torrey Smith, Jeremy Maclin, TY Hilton, Julian Edelman, Terrance Williams

Tier 5: Kendall Wright, Emmanuel Sanders, Mike Wallace, Golden Tate, Marques Colston, Eric Decker, Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Reggie Wayne, Riley Cooper, Reuben Randle, Brandin Cooks

Tier 6: Brian Hartline, DeAndre Hopkins, Cecil Shorts, Dwayne Bowe, Markus Wheaton, Danny Amendola, Justin Hunter, Jarrett Boykin, Anquan Boldin, Tavon Austin, Greg Jennings, Hakeem Nicks, Doug Baldwin, Andrew Hawkins, Steve Smith, Marqise Lee, Kenny Stills, Rod Streater, Josh Gordon

 

Overvalued: Andre Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Victor Cruz, Desean Jackson, Percy Harvin, Cordarelle Patterson, Reggie Wayne, Anquan Boldin, James Jones.

High volume, healthy targets with stables quarterbacks are ideal. These players, at their current value, are not.

Undervalued: Tiers 1 and 2, Roddy White, Michael Floyd, Mike Evans, Terrance Williams, Brian Hartline. I mainly want to talk about decisions in the first two rounds here. WR1s EVERY YEAR are more consistent than RB1s. You cannot lose a fantasy season in the first round, but you can certainly start off the season on the wrong foot. The floors for each of the players in Tiers 1 and 2 are so high, and their value is extremely enticing. WR-WR rounds 1 and 2 is certainly not a bad strategy. I like the young trio of Michael Floyd, Mike Evans and Terrance Williams. In deep leagues, Brian Hartline can be this year’s Kendall Wright (Rec, Rec, Rec).

 

Happy drafting and get your mock on!

 

@manwithaspreads