Below are our top 150 players, ranking for standard 10-14 team leagues (non-PPR) with 4-point passing touchdowns. Throughout the pre-season we will be adding new lists, and doing ranks position-by-position. As we did with baseball, we will focus on player’s actual value compared to their perceived value (ADP). You will notice defenses and kickers are not included in our ranks, if your league uses these positions grab whoever is available in the last two rounds as these positions are merely lottery tickets.
Strategy: As we will outline in our positional ranks, QB is incredibly deep and TE is incredibly shallow. There is no discernible difference between our TE6 and TE15, thus making tight end a position ripe for streaming, playing match-ups based on opponent. With QB being so deep, it is important to not reach for a quarterback and get good value on your starting quarterback; let them fall to you. Unless you are drafting RG3, or have more than 6 bench spots in your league, drafting a backup QB is not recommended, the position is very deep, I am content with picking up Tannehill, for example, during my QB’s bye week. Drafting contributors at running back and wide receiver throughout the draft is how to win your fantasy league, and our ranks should help:
|Robert Griffin III||QB||62||WAS|
I will have more posts analyzing these ranks even further, but right now I will share a few brief notes on these players:
1-25: If you have a mid-1st round pick, resist the temptation to take Megatron. He is a stud, but the difference between WR1 and WR4-6 pales in comparison to the gap between RB9 and RB12. We could fully envision CJ Spiller finishing as the number one fantasy scorer, and we think Doug Martin is overrated, partially due to skewed statistics by one performance in 2012. Trent Richardson wasn’t very good last year, and there is better value in the late first round. Cam Newton is vastly underrated and we’d gladly draft him in the third round, even with a deep QB class. In 2012 teams were able to gameplan to shut down Roddy or Julio in a given week, and they have closer fantasy value than their ADP’s indicate.
26-50: Larry Fitzgerald, Darren McFadden, DeMarco Murray, Randall Cobb, Frank Gore, Rob Gronkowski, Hakeem Nicks: these guys have the potential to finish the season as top-15 fantasy players, but individual question-marks have caused these players to drop until rounds 3-6. Marques Colston is very underrated, while injury-prone Andre Johnson is being supremely overvalued after one healthy season. Antonio Brown, is good, will get targets, and has a great quarterback.
51-75: The depth of the QB position is shown in these ranks, I am content having any one of these guys, at the right price. Cecil Shorts and Desean Jackson could be mid-round steals. Mark Ingram is being criminally undervalued, Ivory has departed to NYJ (underrated too!) and he will get touches and touchdowns in a rejuvenated Saints offense, with the return of Sean Payton. Montee Ball is overrated, Le’veon Bell will have more fantasy points when the season is over.
76-100: Kyle Rudolph, Greg Olsen, Owen Daniels and Vernon Davis are the last tight ends remotely in their class, and as recommended above if you do not have a tight end once these guys are gone, wait until the last round (but before K or D/St). In these mid-to-late rounds upside is more preferable than a bye-week fill in guy, and our ranks reflect that; for example Bryce Brown over Jonathan Stewart.
101-125: Some sleepers are in these ranks: Ryan Broyles, Jonathan Franklin, Aaron Dobson, Jeremy Kerley, DeAndre Hopkins. We will talk more in depth about these players in their positional ranks.
126-150: Not much to see here, Ed Dickson could be an interesting name with Pitta out for the year. Kendall Hunter seems to be the better handcuff than LaMichael James. Danny Woodhead could fill in for terrible running back Ryan Mathews. Brandon Myers in New York could have intriguing value. Michael Vick would be an interesting fantasy player if he won the Eagles starting QB job.
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