Note: This bracket does not include the results of the final Pac 12 Quarterfinal featuring two teams that will remain in our version of bracketology, but whose seeds may be effected by the outcome. The first four now appears California vs Providence and St. Joe’s vs Minnesota. Florida State moves to our first team out, followed by Tennessee and 4 teams who have lost their conference tournament game: St. John’s, Green Bay, Brigham Young, and Arkansas. Missouri could also enter the bracket with an impressive win over Florida and a great showing in their semifinal game (likely a win there too). West Virginia, Utah, Georgetown and a few other stragglers are all eliminated and the bubble picture is starting to clear up. A Jayhawk win without Embiid propels them to the 1-seed, but it seems likely it will go to a conference champion (Big Ten, SEC or if Kansas wins B12). Villanova could still hop back in the 1-seed line. Louisville’s impressive late season performance jumps them up a line to a 3-seed, while there is some shuffling among 5 and 6-seeds with some teams falling in their conference quarterfinals.
Tier 1: SMU, Xavier, Nebraska, Pitt, Stanford- These teams have either lost, or will face teams who a loss against will not knock them out of the field. Although they may sweat, they are in the tournament with a solid degree of certainty.
Tier 2: Dayton, California, St. Joe’s- Other bracketologists may not agree, but baring a drastic change to the bubble (such as multiple bid steals, or a massive St. Joe’s loss to Dayton), these teams will likely remain in my field of 68, I cannot say the same about the committee or other bracketologists
Tier 3: Minnesota, Providence, Florida State, Tennesse- SHOW ME SOMETHING. The committee, all bracketologists, and myself can agree that these teams have work remaining to advance into the field. Think of these teams as squarely on the bubble.
TIer 4: St. John’s, Green Bay, BYU, Arkansas- I will not have these teams in my field of 68, but it is quite possible the committee and/or other bracketologists see something in their resumes that I do not.
There is also the Conference USA duo and Mizzou, but their fates are more complex. Just win baby. The bracket follows:
|San Diego State||4||Providence||12|
|Iowa State||4||North Dakota State||13|
|Michigan State||4||Stephen F. Austin||13|
|North Carolina||5||Eastern Kentucky||14|
|Ohio State||6||California Irvine||14|
|Virginia Commonwealth||6||Utah Valley||15|
|Baylor||7||North Carolina Central||15|
|Oklahoma State||8||Coastal Carolina||16|
|Memphis||8||Mount St. Mary’s||16|