2014 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers

Welcome back for part 2 of a 5 part series profiling the wideouts. Below, tiers will be decided, strategy will be explained and rankings will be made! We hope that you enjoy the new site layout, and our dope new logo. Yes, I used dope as an adjective, we’re all about math here– not grammar. These rankings are formatted towards a 10-to-14 team league that is not PPR and includes 3 Wideouts. We are certainly fans of the PPR format, but still find that this is sort of a unique league which is more inclined to have other variables (such as 6-point pass TDs). However, we lean towards wideout who are consistent targets and would be valuable in the PPR format.In our valuation and stated above,

 

ECR Rank   Player Name  Position  Team  RK  Bye Week  ADP  Y! 14 Y! 10
6 Calvin Johnson WR DET 1 9 6 7.5 6.2
7 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 2 4 10 6.7 5.4
10 Dez Bryant WR DAL 3 11 12 5.4 4.1
13 A.J. Green WR CIN 4 4 15 5.4 4.1
16 Brandon Marshall WR CHI 5 9 19 5.1 3.8
17 Julio Jones WR ATL 6 9 20 5.2 3.9
24 Antonio Brown WR PIT 7 12 27 4.6 3.3
20 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI 8 9 26 4.6 3.3
21 Jordy Nelson WR GB 9 9 24 4.6 3.3
28 Randall Cobb WR GB 10 9 29 3.9 2.6
32 Vincent Jackson WR TB 11 7 33 3.6 2.3
31 Keenan Allen WR SD 12 10 38 2.9 1.6
33 Pierre Garcon WR WAS 13 10 39 2.9 1.6
43 Michael Crabtree WR SF 14 8 43 3.1 1.8
35 Andre Johnson WR HOU 15 10 37 3.4 2.1
36 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 16 4 34 3.3 2
44 Roddy White WR ATL 17 9 49 2.6 1.3
45 Wes Welker WR DEN 18 4 41 2.6 1.3
52 Michael Floyd WR ARI 19 4 64 2.6 1.3
39 Victor Cruz WR NYG 20 8 42 2.6 1.3
48 DeSean Jackson WR WAS 21 10 47 2 0.7
50 Percy Harvin WR SEA 22 4 50 2.2 0.9
53 Cordarrelle Patterson WR MIN 23 10 48 2.6 1.3
56 Torrey Smith WR BAL 24 11 67 2.1 0.8
76 Jeremy Maclin WR PHI 25 7 74 1.9 0.6
65 Ty Hilton WR IND 26 10 66 1.9 0.6
70 Julian Edelman WR NE 27 10 68 1.6 0.3
82 Terrance Williams WR DAL 28 11 93 1.6 0.3
66 Kendall Wright WR TEN 29 9 82 1.3 0
84 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN 30 4 78 1.4 0.1
72 Mike Wallace WR MIA 31 5 81 1.4 0.1
83 Golden Tate WR DET 32 9 84 1.4 0.1
73 Marques Colston WR NO 33 6 80 0.9 -0.4
77 Eric Decker WR NYJ 34 11 86 1 -0.3
95 Sammy Watkins WR BUF 35 9 92 0.8 -0.5
99 Mike Evans WR TB 36 7 111 0.4 -0.9
86 Reggie Wayne WR IND 37 10 90 0.4 -0.9
98 Riley Cooper WR PHI 38 7 103 0.3 -1
100 Rueben Randle WR NYG 39 8 135 0.2 -1.1
121 Brandin Cooks WR NO 40 6 123 0.2 -1.1
124 Brian Hartline WR MIA 41 5 186 0.1 -1.2
109 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU 42 10 130 0 -1.3
94 Cecil Shorts WR JAC 43 11 120 -0.1 -1.4
90 Dwayne Bowe WR KC 44 6 109 0.1 -1.2
127 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR 45 12 146 -0.2 -1.5
139 Markus Wheaton WR PIT 46 12 204 -1 -2.3
126 Danny Amendola WR NE 47 10 141 -0.4 -1.7
134 Justin Hunter WR TEN 48 9 163 -0.9 -2.2
129 Jarrett Boykin WR GB 49 9 177 -0.7 -2
101 Anquan Boldin WR SF 50 8 115 -0.1 -1.4
116 Tavon Austin WR STL 51 4 131 0 -1.3
125 Greg Jennings WR MIN 52 10 172 -0.8 -2.1
110 Hakeem Nicks WR IND 53 10 121 -0.9 -2.2
149 Doug Baldwin WR SEA 54 4 182 -0.6 -1.9
180 Andrew Hawkins WR CLE 55 4 241 -1.4 -2.7
132 Steve Smith WR BAL 56 11 158 -1 -2.3
185 Marqise Lee WR JAC 57 11 245 -1.9 -3.2
122 Kenny Stills WR NO 58 6 148 -0.2 -1.5
171 Rod Streater WR OAK 59 5 242 -1 -2.3
177 Josh Gordon WR CLE 60 4 133 -2.2 -3.5

I enjoy the consistency that wideouts provide in the new passing era of the NFL. Top-tiered wideouts are being consistently undervalued. I am certainly more confident in Brandon Marshall finishing as a WR1 than… Le’veon Bell for example. Targets are a great in-season metric to evaluate players, and we tend to avoid players entering new environments (rookies, FAs) in favor of established, consistent veterans.

Tier 1: Calvin Johnson, Demaryius Thomas

Tier 2: Dez Bryant, AJ Green, Brandon Marshall, Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, Alshon Jeffery, Jordy Nelson

Tier 3: Randall Cobb, Vincent Jackson, Keenan Allen, Pierre Garcon, Michael Crabtree, Andre Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Roddy White, Wes Welker

Tier 4: Michael Floyd, Victor Cruz, DeSean Jackson, Percy Harvin, Cordarelle Patterson, Torrey Smith, Jeremy Maclin, TY Hilton, Julian Edelman, Terrance Williams

Tier 5: Kendall Wright, Emmanuel Sanders, Mike Wallace, Golden Tate, Marques Colston, Eric Decker, Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Reggie Wayne, Riley Cooper, Reuben Randle, Brandin Cooks

Tier 6: Brian Hartline, DeAndre Hopkins, Cecil Shorts, Dwayne Bowe, Markus Wheaton, Danny Amendola, Justin Hunter, Jarrett Boykin, Anquan Boldin, Tavon Austin, Greg Jennings, Hakeem Nicks, Doug Baldwin, Andrew Hawkins, Steve Smith, Marqise Lee, Kenny Stills, Rod Streater, Josh Gordon

 

Overvalued: Andre Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Victor Cruz, Desean Jackson, Percy Harvin, Cordarelle Patterson, Reggie Wayne, Anquan Boldin, James Jones.

High volume, healthy targets with stables quarterbacks are ideal. These players, at their current value, are not.

Undervalued: Tiers 1 and 2, Roddy White, Michael Floyd, Mike Evans, Terrance Williams, Brian Hartline. I mainly want to talk about decisions in the first two rounds here. WR1s EVERY YEAR are more consistent than RB1s. You cannot lose a fantasy season in the first round, but you can certainly start off the season on the wrong foot. The floors for each of the players in Tiers 1 and 2 are so high, and their value is extremely enticing. WR-WR rounds 1 and 2 is certainly not a bad strategy. I like the young trio of Michael Floyd, Mike Evans and Terrance Williams. In deep leagues, Brian Hartline can be this year’s Kendall Wright (Rec, Rec, Rec).

 

Happy drafting and get your mock on!

 

@manwithaspreads

 

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