MLB Expected Slash Lines based on Exit Velocity

In following up with my previous post, https://manwithaspreadsheet.com/2015/12/10/expected-batting-average-on-batted-balls/, I am attempting to quantify the expected slash line of individual MLB hitters based on solely their exit velocity generated. This is just one fun metric to use to try and identify which players under/over-performed based on results-oriented metrics. I am still tweaking the model, having some difficulty with pull-oriented hitters being overrated (Ortiz) and players with speed, being underrated (Dee Gordon). This is a fun exercise to view 2015 data in a different light:

Hitter xVAVG xVOBP xVSLG xVOPS
Jose Bautista 0.356 0.467 0.574 1.041
Miguel Cabrera 0.285 0.396 0.586 0.982
Michael Conforto 0.342 0.402 0.575 0.977
Josh Donaldson 0.347 0.418 0.554 0.972
Manny Machado 0.35 0.417 0.548 0.965
Yoenis Cespedes 0.351 0.385 0.566 0.951
Mike Trout 0.327 0.422 0.521 0.943
Ryan Zimmerman 0.332 0.392 0.548 0.94
Daniel Murphy 0.355 0.395 0.544 0.939
Bryce Harper 0.314 0.448 0.488 0.936
Carlos Correa 0.334 0.398 0.536 0.934
Edwin Encarnacion 0.278 0.372 0.558 0.93
David Ortiz 0.275 0.37 0.556 0.926
Eric Hosmer 0.337 0.4 0.522 0.922
Paul Goldschmidt 0.306 0.428 0.492 0.92
Lorenzo Cain 0.343 0.386 0.529 0.915
Matt Holliday 0.265 0.374 0.538 0.912
David Peralta 0.329 0.389 0.522 0.911
Ryan Braun 0.319 0.387 0.521 0.908
A.J. Pollock 0.34 0.395 0.512 0.907
Carlos Santana 0.309 0.425 0.482 0.907
Kendrys Morales 0.276 0.345 0.559 0.904
Albert Pujols 0.285 0.342 0.561 0.903
Jason Heyward 0.33 0.395 0.504 0.899
Hanley Ramirez 0.291 0.328 0.57 0.898
Adrian Beltre 0.342 0.388 0.501 0.889
Marcell Ozuna 0.326 0.37 0.518 0.888
Prince Fielder 0.276 0.346 0.541 0.887
Mookie Betts 0.336 0.385 0.499 0.884
Giancarlo Stanton 0.297 0.375 0.509 0.884
Yasiel Puig 0.31 0.37 0.513 0.883
Carlos Beltran 0.292 0.355 0.522 0.877
Christian Yelich 0.319 0.382 0.493 0.875
Howie Kendrick 0.333 0.372 0.502 0.874
Robinson Cano 0.274 0.323 0.55 0.873
Clint Robinson 0.268 0.348 0.519 0.867
Buster Posey 0.293 0.36 0.502 0.862
Jung Ho Kang 0.319 0.364 0.496 0.86
Nolan Arenado 0.323 0.361 0.498 0.859
Gregory Polanco 0.316 0.376 0.48 0.856
Michael Brantley 0.283 0.358 0.498 0.856
Josh Reddick 0.324 0.384 0.47 0.854
Danny Valencia 0.264 0.323 0.528 0.851
Carlos Gonzalez 0.306 0.361 0.487 0.848
Wilson Ramos 0.303 0.334 0.513 0.847
Logan Morrison 0.26 0.331 0.511 0.842
Denard Span 0.308 0.374 0.466 0.84
Justin Turner 0.299 0.361 0.477 0.838
Anthony Rizzo 0.271 0.359 0.479 0.838
George Springer 0.297 0.379 0.458 0.837
Freddie Freeman 0.291 0.377 0.455 0.832
Jose Abreu 0.276 0.322 0.506 0.828
Nelson Cruz 0.246 0.317 0.51 0.827
Trevor Plouffe 0.302 0.36 0.466 0.826
Yasmani Grandal 0.237 0.357 0.469 0.826
Shin-Soo Choo 0.28 0.369 0.456 0.825
Pedro Alvarez 0.267 0.341 0.484 0.825
Mike Moustakas 0.262 0.317 0.508 0.825
Justin Bour 0.251 0.31 0.514 0.824
Hunter Pence 0.275 0.329 0.489 0.818
Ben Zobrist 0.272 0.359 0.458 0.817
Yunel Escobar 0.263 0.322 0.495 0.817
Brad Miller 0.259 0.332 0.484 0.816
Maikel Franco 0.277 0.336 0.478 0.814
Nick Markakis 0.286 0.361 0.449 0.81
Cameron Maybin 0.296 0.356 0.452 0.808
Andrelton Simmons 0.318 0.366 0.441 0.807
Preston Tucker 0.283 0.33 0.476 0.806
Andrew McCutchen 0.241 0.355 0.451 0.806
Travis d’Arnaud 0.291 0.355 0.449 0.804
Yonder Alonso 0.294 0.371 0.433 0.804
Eduardo Nunez 0.29 0.335 0.469 0.804
Joey Votto 0.219 0.384 0.419 0.803
Jason Kipnis 0.299 0.365 0.436 0.801
Mark Teixeira 0.238 0.339 0.461 0.8
Melky Cabrera 0.26 0.306 0.494 0.8
Adam Jones 0.303 0.334 0.462 0.796
Kyle Schwarber 0.268 0.368 0.426 0.794
Jayson Werth 0.283 0.359 0.434 0.793
Enrique Hernandez 0.273 0.313 0.48 0.793
Dustin Ackley 0.251 0.305 0.487 0.792
Justin Upton 0.279 0.361 0.429 0.79
Rougned Odor 0.297 0.335 0.455 0.79
Juan Uribe 0.289 0.352 0.437 0.789
Evan Longoria 0.274 0.333 0.455 0.788
Lucas Duda 0.26 0.353 0.435 0.788
Russell Martin 0.257 0.339 0.449 0.788
Mitch Moreland 0.25 0.3 0.488 0.788
J.T. Realmuto 0.303 0.334 0.451 0.785
Alex Rodriguez 0.238 0.345 0.44 0.785
Gregor Blanco 0.287 0.367 0.418 0.785
DJ LeMahieu 0.295 0.354 0.431 0.785
Kolten Wong 0.303 0.347 0.438 0.785
Mark Trumbo 0.243 0.295 0.489 0.784
Xander Bogaerts 0.305 0.342 0.441 0.783
Kyle Seager 0.272 0.332 0.451 0.783
Curtis Granderson 0.271 0.372 0.411 0.783
Billy Butler 0.245 0.314 0.469 0.783
Adam Lind 0.237 0.328 0.453 0.781
J.D. Martinez 0.236 0.301 0.48 0.781

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